The tenets of quantile-based inference in Bayesian models

Summary, in English

Bayesian inference can be extended to probability distributions defined in terms of their inverse distribution function, i.e. their quantile function. This applies to both prior and likelihood. Quantile-based likelihood is useful in models with sampling distributions which lack an explicit probability density function. Quantile-based prior allows for flexible distributions to express expert knowledge. The principle of quantile-based Bayesian inference is demonstrated in the univariate setting with a Govindarajulu likelihood, as well as in a parametric quantile regression, where the error term is described by a quantile function of a Flattened Skew-Logistic distribution.

• Författare: Dmytro Perepolkin; Benjamin Goodrich; Ullrika Sahlin
• Avdelning/ar: Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC); BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate; MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system
• Publiceringsår: 2023
• Språk: Engelska
• Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie: Computational Statistics and Data Analysis
• Volym: 187
• Länkar: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2023.107795
• Dokumenttyp: Artikel i tidskrift
• Förlag: Elsevier
• Ämne: Probability Theory and Statistics
• Nyckelord: Bayesian analysis; Parametric quantile regression; Quantile functions; Quantile-based inference
• Status: Published
• ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt: ISSN: 0167-9473