Min forskning handlar om hantering av osäkerhet i vetenskapliga bedömningar. Jag arbetar med metoder för att kvantifiera osäkerhet med hjälp av sannolikheter och utvecklar modeller för att göra bedömningar för olika sorters miljöproblem.
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Publikationer
Visar av publikationer. Sorterade efter år och sen titel.
De värsta konsekvenserna av Babet ligger framför oss
Caroline Hallin, Åsa Knaggård, Helena Alexanderson, Ulf Zander, Andreas Persson, et al.
(2024) Sydsvenskan
TidningsartikelHybrid elicitation and quantile-parametrized likelihood
Dmytro Perepolkin, Benjamin Goodrich, Ullrika Sahlin
(2024) Statistics and Computing, 34
Artikel i tidskriftHybrid elicitation and quantile-parametrized likelihood
Dmytro Perepolkin, Benjamin Goodrich, Ullrika Sahlin
(2023)
PreprintCalibration of a bumble bee foraging model using Approximate Bayesian Computation
Charlotte Baey, Henrik G. Smith, Maj Rundlöf, Ola Olsson, Yann Clough, et al.
(2023) Ecological Modelling, 477
Artikel i tidskriftBiologisk mångfald och betydelsen av skyddade områden : Utvärdering och indikatorer i ett landskapsperspektiv
Martin Stjernman, Malin Tälle, Thomas Ranius, Ullrika Sahlin, Erik Öckinger, et al.
(2023) Rapport / Naturvårdsverket
RapportTranscriptional Responses as Biomarkers of General Toxicity : A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis on Metal-Exposed Bivalves
Gustaf M O Ekelund Ugge, Ullrika Sahlin, Annie Jonsson, Olof Berglund
(2023) Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, 42 p.628-641
Artikel i tidskriftThe tenets of quantile-based inference in Bayesian models
Dmytro Perepolkin, Benjamin Goodrich, Ullrika Sahlin
(2023) Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 187
Artikel i tidskriftFood safety and toxicology : Uncertainty analysis in human risk assessment from chemical exposure
U. Sahlin, S. Sand, H. Wallace, David Galán-Madruga
(2023) Encyclopedia of Toxicology, Fourth Edition : Volume 1-9, 4 p.793-800
Del av eller Kapitel i bokPresenting Conclusions from Assessed Evidence
William J. Sutherland, Tatsuya Amano, Nicolas Boenisch, Samantha H. Cheng, Alec P. Christie, et al.
(2022) Transforming Conservation : A Practical Guide to Evidence and Decision Making , p.95-132
Del av eller Kapitel i bokIterative importance sampling with Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling in robust Bayesian analysis
Ivette Raices Cruz, Johan Lindström, Matthias C.M. Troffaes, Ullrika Sahlin
(2022) Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 176
Artikel i tidskriftPollinators, pests and yield—Multiple trade-offs from insecticide use in a mass-flowering crop
Jessica L. Knapp, Adam Bates, Ove Jonsson, Björn Klatt, Theresia Krausl, et al.
(2022) Journal of Applied Ecology, 59 p.2419-2429
Artikel i tidskriftA robust Bayesian bias-adjusted random effects model for consideration of uncertainty about bias terms in evidence synthesis
Ivette Raices Cruz, Matthias C.M. Troffaes, Johan Lindström, Ullrika Sahlin
(2022) Statistics in Medicine, 41 p.3365-3379
Artikel i tidskriftA model of wild bee populations accounting for spatial heterogeneity and climate-induced temporal variability of food resources at the landscape level
Maria Blasi, Yann Clough, Anna Maria Jönsson, Ullrika Sahlin
(2022) Ecology and Evolution, 12
Artikel i tidskriftTransforming Practice : Checklists for Delivering Change
Tatsuya Amano, Longji Bako, Marina Best, Nicolas Boenisch, Philipp Boersch-Supan, et al.
(2022) Transforming Conservation : A Practical Guide to Evidence and Decision Making , p.367-386
Del av eller Kapitel i bokBayesian Network Applications for Sustainable Holistic Water Resources Management : Modeling Opportunities for South Africa
Indrani Hazel Govender, Ullrika Sahlin, Gordon C. O'Brien
(2022) Risk Analysis, 42 p.1346-1364
Artikel i tidskriftA suggestion for the quantification of precise and bounded probability to quantify epistemic uncertainty in scientific assessments
Ivette Raices Cruz, Matthias C.M. Troffaes, Ullrika Sahlin
(2022) Risk Analysis, 42 p.239-253
Artikel i tidskriftUtmaningar och möjligheter
Katarina Hedlund, Marianne Hall, Peter Olsson, Ullrika Sahlin, Maria Ingimarsdottir, et al.
(2022) CEC Rapport , p.48-60
RapportThe tenets of indirect inference in Bayesian models
Dmytro Perepolkin, Benjamin Goodrich, Ullrika Sahlin
(2021)
ÖvrigtCorrelates of intended COVID-19 vaccine acceptance across time and countries : Results from a series of cross-sectional surveys
John R. Kerr, Claudia R. Schneider, Gabriel Recchia, Sarah Dryhurst, Ullrika Sahlin, et al.
(2021) BMJ Open, 11
Artikel i tidskrift“This Is What We Don't Know” : Treating Epistemic Uncertainty in Bayesian Networks for Risk Assessment
Ullrika Sahlin, Inari Helle, Dmytro Perepolkin
(2021) Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management, 17 p.221-232
Artikel i tidskriftRobust Decision Analysis under Severe Uncertainty and Ambiguous Tradeoffs : An Invasive Species Case Study
Ullrika Sahlin, Matthias C.M. Troffaes, Lennart Edsman
(2021) Risk Analysis, 41 p.2140-2153
Artikel i tidskriftImpacts of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy “Greening” Reform on Agricultural Development, Biodiversity, and Ecosystem Services
Jordan Hristov, Yann Clough, Ullrika Sahlin, Henrik G. Smith, Martin Stjernman, et al.
(2020) Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 42 p.716-738
Artikel i tidskriftUtveckling och test av index för biologisk mångfald i ängs- och betesmarker
Ullrika Sahlin, Martin Stjernman, Fabian Roger, Torbjörn Tyler, Ola Olsson, et al.
(2020) Utvärderingsrapport
RapportBiologiska hot mot humlor
Eva Forsgren, Jenny Henriksson, Lina Herbertsson, Ingrid Karlsson, Joachim R. de Miranda, et al.
(2020)
RapportResearchers’ approaches to stakeholders : Interaction or transfer of knowledge?
Åsa Knaggård, Daniel Slunge, Anders Ekbom, Maria Göthberg, Ullrika Sahlin
(2019) Environmental Science and Policy, 97 p.25-35
Artikel i tidskriftEstimating effects of arable land use intensity on farmland birds using joint species modeling
Martin Stjernman, Ullrika Sahlin, Ola Olsson, Henrik G. Smith
(2019) Ecological Applications, 29
Artikel i tidskriftMarine protected areas modulate habitat suitability of the invasive round goby (Neogobius melanostomus) in the Baltic Sea
Mark Holmes, Jonne Kotta, Anders Persson, Ullrika Sahlin
(2019) Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 229
Artikel i tidskriftThe potential to use QSAR to populate ecotoxicity characterisation factors for simplified LCIA and chemical prioritisation
Hanna Holmquist, Jenny Lexén, Magnus Rahmberg, Ullrika Sahlin, Julia Grönholdt Palm, et al.
(2018) International Journal of Life Cycle Assessment, 23 p.2208-2216
Artikel i tidskriftImplications of accounting for management intensity on carbon and nitrogen balances of European grasslands
Jan Blanke, Niklas Boke-Olén, Stefan Olin, Jinfeng Chang, Ullrika Sahlin, et al.
(2018) PLoS ONE, 13
Artikel i tidskriftAn evaluation of analyses and data collection of winter loss in honey bees in Sweden
Ullrika Sahlin, Björn Klatt
(2018) CEC rapport
RapportA model to account for data dependency when estimating floral cover in different land use types over a season
Charlotte Baey, Ullrika Sahlin, Yann Clough, Henrik G. Smith
(2017) Environmental and Ecological Statistics, 24 p.505-527
Artikel i tidskriftRiskanalys av signalkräfta i Sverige : CEC Rapport Nr 04
Ullrika Sahlin, Lennart Edsman, Patrik Bohman
(2017)
RapportDifferences in the strengths of evidence matters in risk–risk trade-offs
Ullrika Sahlin, Maj Rundlöf
(2017) Journal of Risk Research, 20 p.988-994
Artikel i tidskriftA note on EFSA’s ongoing efforts to increase transparency of uncertainty in scientific opinions
Ullrika Sahlin, Matthias C.M. Troffaes
(2017) Journal of Risk Research , p.1-8
Artikel i tidskriftPollinator population size and pollination ecosystem service responses to enhancing floral and nesting resources
Johanna Häussler, Ullrika Sahlin, Charlotte Baey, Henrik G. Smith, Yann Clough
(2017) Ecology and Evolution, 7 p.1898-1908
Artikel i tidskriftAssessing the impact of changes in land-use intensity and climate on simulated trade-offs between crop yield and nitrogen leaching
Jan Hendrik Blanke, Stefan Olin, Julia Stürck, Ullrika Sahlin, Mats Lindeskog, et al.
(2017) Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 239 p.385-398
Artikel i tidskriftSmall data and conflicting information
U. Sahlin
(2017) Risk, Reliability and Safety: Innovating Theory and Practice - Proceedings of the 26th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2016 , p.51-51
KonferensbidragStakeholder Interaction in Research Processes : A Guide for Researchers and Research Groups
Daniel Slunge, Olof Drakenberg, Anders Ekbom, Åsa Knaggård, Ullrika Sahlin
(2017)
RapportBayesian Evidence Synthesis and the quantification of uncertainty in a Monte Carlo simulation
Ullrika Sahlin, Yf Jiang
(2016) Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 230 p.445-456
Artikel i tidskriftMot en evidensbaserad CAP
Juliana Dänhardt, Henrik G. Smith, Mark V. Brady, Ullrika Sahlin
(2016)
ÖvrigtAssessment of uncertainty in chemical models by Bayesian probabilities: Why, when, how?
Ullrika Sahlin
(2015) Journal of Computer-Aided Molecular Design, 29 p.583-594
Artikel i tidskriftInvasive plant species in the Swedish flora: developing criteria and definitions, and assessing the invasiveness of individual taxa
Torbjörn Tyler, Thomas Karlsson, Per Milberg, Ullrika Sahlin, Sebastian Sundberg
(2015) Nordic Journal of Botany, 33 p.300-317
Artikel i tidskriftWhat type of uncertainty is robustness referring to in Information Gap Decision Theory?
U. Sahlin
(2015) Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems - Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015 , p.2797-2804
KonferensbidragEvaluating the impact of climate change on the risk assessment of Nuclear Power Plants
U. Sahlin, F. Di Maio, M. Vagnoli, E. Zio
(2015) Safety and Reliability of Complex Engineered Systems - Proceedings of the 25th European Safety and Reliability Conference, ESREL 2015 , p.2613-2621
KonferensbidragApplicability Domain Dependent Predictive Uncertainty in QSAR Regressions
Ullrika Sahlin, N. Jeliazkova, T. Oberg
(2014) Molecular Informatics, 33 p.26-35
Artikel i tidskriftPrognosverktyget Farmland Bird Index : tillämpning och vidareutveckling
Martin Stjernman, Åke Lindström, Ullrika Sahlin, Martin Green, Henrik G. Smith
(2014)
RapportModelling spatial relationships between ecosystem services and agricultural production in an agent-based model
Christoph Sahrbacher, Mark Brady, Yann Clough, Changxing Dong, Ullrika Sahlin, et al.
(2014) , p.1311-1318
KonferensbidragUnderstanding quantitative structure-property relationships uncertainty in environmental fate modeling
M. Sarfraz Iqbal, Laura Golsteijn, Tomas Oberg, Ullrika Sahlin, Ester Papa, et al.
(2013) Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, 32 p.1069-1076
Artikel i tidskriftThe quality of the outdoor environment influences children's health. -A cross-sectional study of preschools.
Margareta Söderström, Cecilia Boldemann, Ullrika Sahlin, Fredrika Mårtensson, Anders Raustorp, et al.
(2013) Acta paediatrica, 102 p.83-91
Artikel i tidskriftUncertainty in QSAR predictions.
Ullrika Sahlin
(2013) ATLA: Alternatives To Laboratory Animals, 41 p.111-125
Artikel i tidskriftArguments for considering uncertainty in QSAR predictions in hazard and risk assessments.
Ullrika Sahlin, Laura Golsteijn, M Sarfraz Iqbal, Willie Peijnenburg
(2013) ATLA: Alternatives To Laboratory Animals, 41 p.91-110
Artikel i tidskriftPLS-Optimal: A Stepwise D-Optimal Design Based on Latent Variables
Stefan Brandmaier, Ullrika Sahlin, Igor V. Tetko, Tomas Oberg
(2012) Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling, 52 p.975-983
Artikel i tidskriftBenefits of biofuels in Sweden: A probabilistic re-assessment of the index of new cars' climate impact
Nils Lubbe, Ullrika Sahlin
(2012) Applied Energy, 92 p.473-479
Artikel i tidskriftA benefit analysis of screening for invasive species - base-rate uncertainty and the value of information
Ullrika Sahlin, Tobias Rydén, Cecilia D. Nyberg, Henrik Smith
(2011) Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2 p.500-508
Artikel i tidskriftA Risk Assessment Perspective of Current Practice in Characterizing Uncertainties in QSAR Regression Predictions
Ullrika Sahlin, Monika Filipsson, Tomas Oberg
(2011) Molecular Informatics, 30 p.551-564
Artikel i tidskriftTime to establishment success for introduced signal crayfish in Sweden - a statistical evaluation when success is partially known
Ullrika Sahlin, Henrik Smith, Lennart Edsman, Göran Bengtsson
(2010) Journal of Applied Ecology, 47 p.1044-1052
Artikel i tidskriftFrom data to decision - learning by probabilistic risk analysis of biological invasions
Ullrika Sahlin
(2010)
DoktorsavhandlingDAISIE - och 100 värstingar
Mora Aronsson, Cecilia Nyberg, Ullrika Sahlin
(2008) Fauna och Flora: populär tidskrift för biologi, 103
Artikel i tidskrift