Deniz Koca is an Assist. Prof. at Lund University, Centre for Environmental and Climate Science (CEC). He holds a Ph.D. in Geobiosphere Science, M.Sc. in Environmental Studies & Sustainability Science, and B.Sc. in Environmental Engineering.
His main expertise lies in applied systems analysis, system dynamics modelling and facilitation of stakeholder participatory group modelling process.
He has initiated and been involved in various transdisciplinary projects with the main task of analyzing, interpreting, modelling, simulating and communicating alternative scenarios of complex dynamic environmental and socio-economic issues with a systems approach and within the sustainability criteria. He has been teaching systems analysis and system dynamics modelling courses on undergraduate, gradute and post-graduate levels.
Deniz acts as the Coordinator & Director of Studies of BIOECONOMY Graduate Research School within the CEC, the Chairman of LU Food Faculty (a university wide collaboration initiative), and the Vice President of EIT Food Protein Diversification Think Tank.
He is a Donella Meadows Fellow and member of The Balaton Group, also known as the International Network of Resource Information Centers (INRIC). He is also a member of the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) alumni.
Publications
Displaying of publications. Sorted by year, then title.
PROTEIN DIVERSIFICATION: An EIT FOOD White Paper
(2022)
ReportChallenge-based, interdisciplinary learning for sustainability in doctoral education
Chiara Piccardo, Yutaka Goto, Deniz Koca, Pasi Aalto, Mark Hughes
(2022) International Journal of Sustainability in Higher Education, 23 p.1482-1503
Journal articleHow large is the global population when limited by long term sustainable global metal-, energy-and phosphate supply ?
Harald U. Sverdrup, Anna Hulda Olafsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2020) System Dynamics Society, International Conference Proceedings
Conference paperThe WORLD6 Integrated System Dynamics Model: Examples of Results from Simulations
Harald Sverdrup, Anna Hulda Olafsdottir, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca, Ullrich Lorenz
(2019) Progress Towards the Resource Revolution , p.68-76
Book chapterFABLE 2019. Pathways to Sustainable Land-Use and Food Systems : 2019 Report of the FABLE Consortium
Aline Mosnier, Michael Obersteiner, Guido Schmidt-Traub, Deniz Koca, Miodrag Stevanovic
(2019)
ReportA System Dynamics Assessment of the Supply of Molybdenum and Rhenium Used for Super-alloys and Specialty Steels, Using the WORLD6 Model
Harald Sverdrup, Anna Hulda Olafsdottir, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2018) BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 3
Journal articlePotentiale und Kernergebnisse der Simulationen von Ressourcen-schonung(spolitik) : Endbericht des Projekts „Modelle, Potentiale und Langfristszenarien für Ressourceneffizienz“ (Sim-Ress)
Martin Hirschnitz-Garbers, Martin Distelkamp, Deniz Koca, Mark Meyer, Harald Sverdrup
(2018) UBA-FB
ReportSystem analysis for environmental policy – System thinking through system dynamic modelling and policy mixing as used in the SimRess project
Martin Hirschnitz-Garbers, Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup, Mark Meyer, Martin Distelkamp
(2018)
ReportThe WORLD Model Development and The Integrated Assessment of the Global Natural Resources Supply
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
(2018)
ReportTime of scarcity horizons for technology metals, precious metals, base metals, superalloy metals, battery technology metals and infrastructure materials.
Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Harald Sverdrup, Anna Olafsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2017) Accelerating the Resource Revolution - WRF 2017 Meeting Report : Geneva, October 24 – 25, 2017
Conference paperThe WORLD6 model for evaluation of natural resource sustainability considering metals, materials, energy, population and food.
Harald Sverdrup, Anna Olafsdottir, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2017) Accelerating the Resource Revolution : WRF 2017 Meeting Report, Geneva, October 24 – 25, 2017
Conference paperAn assessment of metal supply sustainability as an input to policy: security of supply extraction rates, stocks-in-use, recycling, and risk of scarcity
Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2017) Journal of Cleaner Production, 140 p.359-372
Journal articleDefining a free market: drivers of unsustainability as illustrated with an example of shrimp farming in the mangrove forest in South East Asia
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2017) Journal of Cleaner Production, 140 p.299-311
Journal articleA Simple System Dynamics Model for the Global Production Rate of Sand, Gravel, Crushed Rock and Stone, Market Prices and Long-Term Supply Embedded into the WORLD6 Model
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Peter Schlyter
(2017) BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 2
Journal articleIntegrated Modelling of the Global Cobalt Extraction, Supply, Price and Depletion of Extractable Resources Using the WORLD6 Model
Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2017) BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 2
Journal articleModelling the copper, zinc and lead mining rates and co-extraction of dependent metals, supply, price and extractable amounts using the BRONZE model
Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2015)
Conference paper: abstractModelling the global primary extraction, supply, price and depletion of the extractable geological resources using the COBALT model.
Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2015)
Conference paper: abstractHow much meat can we eat to sustain a healthy life and planet? The case of Swedish meat consumption
Elinor Hallström, Murat Sartas, Elin Röös, Deniz Koca, Pål Börjesson
(2015) International conference on Life Cycle Assessment as reference methodology for assessing supply chains and supporting global sustainability challenges : LCA FOR “FEEDING THE PLANET AND ENERGY FOR LIFE” , p.29-35
Conference paperAluminium for the future: Modelling the global production, market supply, demand, price and long term development of the global reserves
Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2015) Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 103 p.139-154
Journal articleEstimating critical extraction rates for the main metals for a sustainable society within the planetary limits
Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2015)
Conference paper: abstractSubstitution of metals in times of potential supply limitations: What are the mitigation options and limitations?
Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
(2015)
Conference paper: abstractOn modelling the global copper mining rates, market supply, copper price and the end of copper reserves
Harald U. Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Deniz Koca
(2014) Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 87 p.158-174
Journal articleComplex human-nature system interactions in a resource constrained world - system analysis of problems associated to resource use and scarcity, and potential solutions aiming at resource efficiency
Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2014)
Conference paperGlobal peak production of natural resources will lead to peak wealth
Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir, Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
(2014) Equity within planetary boundaries, ISEE conference 2014 Abstract Book , p.265-265
Conference paper: abstractThe economics of a world with decreasing access to minerals, metals, energy, prerequisites for food and people
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Ullrich Lorenz, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2014) Equity within planetary boundaries - ISEE Conference Abstract Book , p.243-243
Conference paper: abstractInvestigating the sustainability of the global silver supply, reserves, stocks in society and market price using different approaches
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2014) Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 83 p.121-140
Journal articlePeak Metals, Minerals, Energy, Wealth, Food and Population: Urgent Policy Considerations for a Sustainable Society
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2013) Journal of Environmental Science and Engineering , p.499-533
Journal articleA Simple Assessment of the Global Long Term Supply of the Rare Earth Elements by Using a System Dynamics Model
Dejene Kifle, Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Grethe Wibetoel
(2013) Environment and Natural Resources Research, 3 p.77-91
Journal articleSystems Analysis of the Impacts of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami on Energy Supply System in Kamaishi-City
Takahiro Kawahara, Deniz Koca
(2013) [Host publication title missing]
Conference paperRethinking globalisation in the light of Contraction & Convergence - CONVERGE Project Final Summative Report
Edina Vadovics, Kristof Vadovics, Simon Milton, Bálint Balázs, György Pataki, et al.
(2013)
ReportThe WORLD model: Peak metals, minerals, energy, wealth, food and population
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Kristin Vala Ragnarsdottir
(2012) Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society , p.102-102
Conference paperSearching for the Magnificent Mountain Landscape; Environmental management in the Swedish mountain area
Ingrid Stjernquist, Harald Sverdrup, Peter Schlyter, Salim Belyazid, Deniz Koca, et al.
(2012) Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society , p.99-99
Conference paperUse of Casual Loop Diagrams and Systems Analysis to Explore Alternative Climate Change Adaptation Strategies in Seyhan River Basin, Turkey
Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup
(2012) Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Conference paperA stakeholder participated system science based sustainable development indicator framework
Deniz Koca, Harald Sverdrup
(2012) [Host publication title missing]
Conference paperModelling the gold market, explaining the past and assessing the physical and economical sustainability of future scenarios
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, Christer Granath
(2012) Proceedings of the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Conference paperAssessing Long Term Sustainability of Global Supply of Natural Resources and Materials
Kristin Vala Ragnarsdóttir, Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
(2012) Sustainable Development - Energy, Engineering and Technologies - Manufacturing and Environment, Online 29 February, 2012 p.83-116
Book chapterChallenging the planetary boundaries I: Basic principles of an integrated model for phosphorous supply dynamics and global population size
K. V. Ragnarsdottir, Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca
(2011) Applied Geochemistry, 26 p.303-306
Journal articleMiljömål i fjällandskapet : En syntes av problemställningar knutna till förvaltningen av en begränsad resurs
Harald Sverdrup, Salim Belyazid, Deniz Koca, Ulrika Jönsson Belyazid, Peter Schlyter, et al.
(2010)
ReportTowards a world of limits: The issue of human resource follies
Harald Sverdrup, Deniz Koca, K. H. Robert
(2009) Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 73 p.1298-1298
Conference paper: abstractModelling regional climate change effects on potential natural ecosystems in Sweden
Deniz Koca, Benjamin Smith, Martin Sykes
(2006) Climatic Change, 78 p.381-406
Journal articleRepresenting vegetation dynamics in a regional model of ecosystem biogeochemistry
Benjamin Smith, Thomas Hickler, Deniz Koca, Pablo Morales, Martin Sykes
(2005)
Conference paper: abstractA Sustainability Assessment of the Urban Rehabilitation Project of the Medina of Fez, Morocco
Salim Belyazid, Hördur Haraldsson, Christer Kalen, Deniz Koca
(2003) Proceedings of the 21st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
Conference paperThe coming water shortage in the Jordan River Basin - Finding objectivity in a subjective problem
Hördur Haraldsson, Harald Sverdrup, Mats Svensson, Salim Belyazid, Deniz Koca, et al.
(2002) Proceeding of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society , p.78-78
Conference paperFuture Demand and Supply of Food in China - A modeling attempt
Christer Kalen, Hördur Haraldsson, Deniz Koca
(2002) Proceeding of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society , p.85-85
Conference paperThe Rubber Industry and Extended Producers' Responsibility Framework: Opportunities and Threats for Swedish Rubber Manufacturers
Deniz Koca, Mats G. Svensson, Christer Kalén, Harald Sverdrup, Salim Belyazid, et al.
(2002) Proceeding of the 20th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society , p.88-89
Conference paper
ONGOING PROJECTS
(2024-2027) Securing Holistic and Impactful Food Systems Transformation with Novel Foods based on alternative proteins (EPIC-SHIFT)-(Project Coordinator). HORIZON Europe funded project with 20 partners from 14 countries. (4.5 Million EUR)
(2024-2027) Fostering European Cellular Agriculture for Sustainable Transition Solutions (FEASTS). HORIZON Europe funded project with 36 partners from 17 countries. (7 Million EUR)
(2024-2028) Pan-European Food Systems Science Network (FoSSNet)-(WP co-leader). HORIZON Europe funded project with 15 partners from 12 countries. (6 Million EUR)
(2023-2025) EIT Food - GROW: Empowering Farmers for a Sustainable Journey-(Coordinator) EIT Food funded capacity building project. Partners are Lund University, BGI, Food4Sustainability, Queens University Belfast, Bavarian State Ministry of Food, Agriculture and Forestry, Polish Academy of Science, and Maspex. (1.2 Million EUR)
(2024) EIT Food INSPIRE programme - Digital Technologies in the Food System. Partners are Lund University, Queens University Belfast, BGI and Aarhus University
(2017-2024) BIOECONOMY - Graduate Research School for Advancing the Transition to Bioeconomy. (Coordinator) An inter/trans-disciplinary graduate research school funded by FORMAS. Partners are from 3 faculties (Natural Science, Engineering and Social Science), 4 centres/institutions (CEC, LUCSUS, CIRCLE and IIIEE), and 5 departments (Biology, Physical Geography and Ecosystem Analysis, Chemical Engineering/Bioetechnology, Political Science and Sociology) at Lund University.
COMPLETED PROJECTS
(2023) EIT Food INSPIRE programme - Digital Technologies in the Food System. Partners are Lund University, Queens University Belfast, BGI and Bavarian State Ministry of Food
(2022) EIT Food INSPIRE programme - InnovPlanet Summer School. Partners are Lund University, Food4Sustainability, BGI and Universidade Beira Interior
(2022) EIT Food NSPIRE programme - Post-Harvest School. Partners are Lund University, Food4Sustainability, BGI, Art21, Climate Farmers, Grand Farm, Kisleptek Egyesulet, Institute of Animal Production and Food Research, Rural Hack
(2022) ASSIST-Food - Applied Systems Science in Food Systems Transformations. (Coordinator) Region Skåne funded project.
(2021-2022) EIT Food - Grow Workshops. (Coordinator) EIT Food funded capacity building project. Partners are Lund University, Austrian Institute of Technology, BGI, Food4Sustainability, Vitagora.
(2019-2021) ASSIST - Applied Systems Science In Systems Transformations. (Coordinator) EIT Climate KIC funded Learning Hub project.
(2018-2021) CSA Regional Nordic Hub (RNH): Alternative green and blue plant-based protein production in the Nordic Bioeconomy. (Coordinator) EIT Climate KIC funded regional hub project. Partners are Lund University, Copenhagen University, Helsinki University, RISE, Aarhus University, NTNU and DTU.
(2017-2020) STAR-ProBio - Sustainability Transition Assessment and Research of Bio-based Products. A multi-actor collaborative Research and Innovation Action (RIA) project funded by EU Horizon 2020 programme. 15 partners from 11 European countries. CEC is subcontracted by Swedish Environmental Protection Agency.
(2019) Ph.D. Catapult summer school: Wood Construction for Climate Change Mitigation and Transiton to Bioeconomy . EIT Climate KIC funded summer school for Ph.D students. Partners are Lund University, Aalto University, Chalmers University and NTNU.
(2018-2019) GoWood - Incentivizing use of wood in construction sector to mitigate climate change and boost bioeconomy. An inter/trans-disciplinary project funded by EIT Climate KIC. Besides Lund University, project partners are Aalto University, NTNU, SITRA and UNFCCC.
(2013-2017) SIMRESS - Models, potential and long-term scenarios for resource efficiency. A transdisciplinary project funded by German Ministry of Environment and The Federal Environment Agency. Project parners are CEC, University of Iceland, Ecologic Institute, GWS and European School of Governance.
(2009-2013) CONVERGE - Rethinking globalisation in the light of Contraction and CONVERGEnce – an interdisciplinary project funded by EC/FP7, which employs a functional systems approach to identify the convergent and divergent processes involved across social, economic and ecological aspects of sustainability.
(2009-2010) Environmental goals in Swedish mountains: A synthesis of problems associated with the management of limited resources – a project funded by Swedish Environmental Protection Agency and in planned partnership with researchers at the Department of Physical Geography and Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University.
(2008-2011) REAL CHANGE – an interdisciplinary and cross-sectoral research program funded by Swedish Research Council for Environment, Agricultural Sciences and Spatial Planning (FORMAS), The Swedish Agency for Economic and Regional Growth, The Swedish Governmental Agency for Innovation Systems (VINNOVA) and The Swedish Energy Agency.
(2008-2011) Designing sustainable health care spaces for the 21st century – a project financed by FORMAS and in collaboration with Chalmers University, Karolinska Institute and Dalarna University.