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Uncertainty and Evidence Lab


This research group focus on the management of epistemic uncertainty in scientific assessments. This includes discussing and applying principles and methods for learning, forecasting and decision analysis under different strengths in knowledge. We seek to apply the principles and methods on conceptual and actual problems in risk analysis, evidence synthesis and decision analysis.

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab started in 2017 and have research meetings every second week at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Science.

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab at

Contact the research group leader Ullrika if you want to know more.
Ullrika Sahlin

Who are we


Photos of eight group members holding signs saying "I am not sure" in Swedish.

Recent posts at

This spring Ullrika organised as part of the Pufendorf theme EXPERT an online seminar about social science and risk comm...
This spring we will continue with the Bayes@Lund Book Club by continue reading Probability Theory: The logic of science ...
Den 3 december 2020 bjuder Riskkollegiet och Uppsala universitet in studenter, medlemmar och andra intresserade på några...