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Uncertainty and Evidence Lab

Our research group studies the management of uncertainty about knowledge in scientific assessments. This involves discussing and applying principles and methods for learning, prediction and decision analyses at different levels of knowledge.

We aim to apply principles and methods to conceptual as well as real-world problems in risk assessment, evidence synthesis and decision analysis.

The group is part of COSHE, the Computational Science for Health and Environment theme at CEC.

Current research and teaching

Research projects

  • RISK-HUNT3R (risk-hunt3r.eu)
  • Robust climate adaptation Gävleborg
  • PARC: Partnership for the Assessement of Risks for Chemicals
  • SkandicBuzz: Do imported commercial bumblebees affect the disease profile of wild Swedish bumblebees?
  • BIOPATH MISTRA

Undergratudate teaching

Introduction to biostatistics MASB11

Risk assessment for Environment and Public Health MVEN10

Reproducible workflows and Statistical Learning BERN02

Statistical and Mathematical Uncertainty Analysis VRSF20

Graduate teaching (PhD courses)

Bayesian Analysis and Decision Theory NAVM001

Risk, Uncertainty and Decision Making NAVM002)

Commissions

EFSA Tender OC/EFSA/MESE/2022/05 Support services for Expert Knowledge Elicitation

EFSA Tender OC/EFSA/AMU/2021/02 EKE Develop and deliver online courses in Expert Knowledge Elicitation for EFSA

Group leader

Ullrika Sahlin
E-mail: ullrika [dot] sahlin [at] cec [dot] lu [dot] se (ullrika[dot]sahlin[at]cec[dot]lu[dot]se)
Mobile: +46 73 827 44 32