The browser you are using is not supported by this website. All versions of Internet Explorer are no longer supported, either by us or Microsoft (read more here:

Please use a modern browser to fully experience our website, such as the newest versions of Edge, Chrome, Firefox or Safari etc.

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab


This research group focus on the management of epistemic uncertainty in scientific assessments. This includes discussing and applying principles and methods for learning, forecasting and decision analysis under different strengths in knowledge. We seek to apply the principles and methods on conceptual and actual problems in risk analysis, evidence synthesis and decision analysis.

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab started in 2017 with regular research meetings at the Centre of Environmental and Climate Science.

Uncertainty and Evidence Lab at

Contact the research group leader Ullrika if you want to know more.
Ullrika Sahlin

Who are we


Photos of eight group members holding signs saying "I am not sure" in Swedish.

Recent posts at

We are happy to announce the mid-term seminar for Dmytro Perepolkin, PhD student, at CEC, Lund University on October 19t...
One year to go before we open up the 2023 conference for the Society for Risk Analysis Europe in Lund. Dates 18 to 21 …
I have a poster at SETAC Copenhagen about Bayesian networks. My main message is that Bayesian networks should not be lim...