Dr Paul Miller is a physicist, ecosystem modeller and climate modeller at the Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science at Lund University.
He is currently Coordinator of the Strategic Research Area MERGE and is affiliated to the Centre for Environmental and Climate Research.
His research concerns terrestrial (land) ecosystem and carbon cycle modelling and the interactions of the land surface with climate, including devlopment of the LPJ-GUESS model. He has a particular focus on the further development of global climate and earth system models, especially EC-Earth.
Publications
Displaying of publications. Sorted by year, then title.
The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6
Ralf Döscher, Mario Acosta, Andrea Alessandri, Peter Anthoni, Thomas Arsouze, et al.
(2022) Geoscientific Model Development, 15 p.2973-3020
Journal articleA strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands
Chunjing Qiu, Philippe Ciais, Dan Zhu, Bertrand Guenet, Jinfeng Chang, et al.
(2022) One Earth, 5 p.86-97
Journal articleNitrogen restricts future sub-Arctic treeline advance in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
Adrian Gustafson, Paul A. Miller, Robert G. Björk, Stefan Olin, Benjamin Smith
(2021) Biogeosciences, 18 p.6329-6347
Journal articleModel simulations of arctic biogeochemistry and permafrost extent are highly sensitive to the implemented snow scheme in LPJ-GUESS
Alexandra Pongracz, David Wårlind, Paul A. Miller, Frans Jan W. Parmentier
(2021) Biogeosciences, 18 p.5767-5787
Journal articleCoupled regional Earth system modeling in the Baltic Sea region
Matthias Gröger, Christian Dieterich, Jari Haapala, Ha Thi Minh Ho-Hagemann, Stefan Hagemann, et al.
(2021) Earth System Dynamics, 12 p.939-973
Journal article reviewResponses of Arctic cyclones to biogeophysical feedbacks under future warming scenarios in a regional Earth system model
Mirseid Akperov, Wenxin Zhang, Paul A. Miller, Igor I. Mokhov, Vladimir A. Semenov, et al.
(2021) Environmental Research Letters, 16
Journal article (letter)Impacts of Large-Scale Sahara Solar Farms on Global Climate and Vegetation Cover
Zhengyao Lu, Qiong Zhang, Paul A. Miller, Qiang Zhang, Ellen Berntell, et al.
(2021) Geophysical Research Letters, 48
Journal articleKlimatförändringar och biologisk mångfald : Slutsatser från IPCC och IPBES i ett svenskt perspektiv.
Lena Bergström, Pernilla Borgström, Henrik G. Smith, Sara Bergek, Paul Caplat, et al.
(2020) Klimatologi
ReportThe Global Methane Budget 2000–2017
Marielle Saunois, Ann R. Stavert, Ben Poulter, Philippe Bousquet, Josep G. Canadell, et al.
(2020) Earth System Science Data, 12 p.1561-1623
Journal articleThe Interplay of Recent Vegetation and Sea Ice Dynamics—Results From a Regional Earth System Model Over the Arctic
W. Zhang, R. Döscher, T. Koenigk, P. A. Miller, C. Jansson, et al.
(2020) Geophysical Research Letters, 47
Journal articleModelling past and future peatland carbon dynamics across the pan-Arctic
Nitin Chaudhary, Sebastian Westermann, Shubhangi Lamba, Narasinha Shurpali, Britta K. Sannel, et al.
(2020) Global Change Biology, 26 p.4119-4133
Journal articleThe importance of land-atmosphere biophysical interactions for regional climate and terrestrial ecosystem change - Improved understanding to inform Swedish national climate action
Wilhelm May, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2020) CEC Syntheses
ReportModelling the vegetation response to the 8.2 ka bp cooling event in Europe and Northern Africa
Huan Li, Hans Renssen, Didier M. Roche, Paul A. Miller
(2019) Journal of Quaternary Science, 34 p.650-661
Journal articleVegetation Pattern and Terrestrial Carbon Variation in Past Warm and Cold Climates
Zhengyao Lu, Paul Miller, Qiong Zhang, David Wårlind, Lars Nieradzik, et al.
(2019) Geophysical Research Letters, 46 p.8133-8143
Journal article"Vi klimatforskare stödjer Greta och skolungdomarna"
Erik Ahlberg, Roland Akselsson, Cecilia Akselsson, Louise C. Andresen, Jonas Ardö, et al.
(2019) Dagens nyheter (DN debatt)
Newspaper articleMethane budget estimates in Finland from the CarbonTracker Europe-CH4 data assimilation system
Aki Tsuruta, Tuula Aalto, Leif Backman, Maarten C. Krol, Wouter Peters, et al.
(2019) Tellus. Series B: Chemical and Physical Meteorology, 71
Journal articleBiotic and Abiotic Drivers of Peatland Growth and Microtopography : A Model Demonstration
Nitin Chaudhary, Paul A. Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2018) Ecosystems, 21 p.1196-1214
Journal articleDynamic Vegetation Simulations of the Mid-Holocene Green Sahara
Lu Zhengyao, Paul Miller, Qiong Zhang, Qiang Zhang, David Wårlind, et al.
(2018) Geophysical Research Letters, 45 p.8294-8303
Journal articleSelf-Amplifying Feedbacks Accelerate Greening and Warming of the Arctic
Wenxin Zhang, Paul Miller, Christer Jansson, Patrik Samuelsson, Jiafu Mao, et al.
(2018) Geophysical Research Letters, 45 p.7102-7111
Journal articleDrivers of dissolved organic carbon export in a subarctic catchment : Importance of microbial decomposition, sorption-desorption, peatland and lateral flow
Jing Tang, Alla Y. Yurova, Guy Schurgers, Paul A. Miller, Stefan Olin, et al.
(2018) Science of the Total Environment, 622-623 p.260-274
Journal articleClimatic Disequilibrium Threatens Conservation Priority Forests
Brian Huntley, Judy R. M. Allen, Jonathan Bennie, Yvonne C. Collingham, Paul A. Miller, et al.
(2018) Conservation Letters, 11
Journal articleTundra landscape heterogeneity, not interannual variability, controls the decadal regional carbon balance in the Western Russian Arctic
Claire C. Treat, Maija E. Marushchak, Carolina Voigt, Yu Zhang, Zeli Tan, et al.
(2018) Global Change Biology, 24 p.5188-5204
Journal articleMechanistic modeling of environmental drivers of woolly mammoth carrying capacity declines on St. Paul Island
Yue Wang, Warren Porter, Paul D. Mathewson, Paul A. Miller, Russell W. Graham, et al.
(2018) Ecology, 99 p.2721-2730
Journal articleModelling past, present and future peatland carbon accumulation across the pan-Arctic region
Nitin Chaudhary, Paul A. Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2017) Biogeosciences, 14 p.4023-4044
Journal articleMulti-scale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability in EC-Earth
Andrea Alessandri, Franco Catalano, M De Felice, Bart Van Den Hurk, F.J. Doblas Reyes, et al.
(2017) Climate Dynamics, 49 p.1215-1237
Journal articleModelling Holocene peatland dynamics with an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
Nitin Chaudhary, Paul A. Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2017) Biogeosciences, 14 p.2571-2596
Journal articleImpacts of land use on climate and ecosystem productivity over the Amazon and the South American continent
Minchao Wu, Guy Schurgers, Anders Ahlström, Markku Rummukainen, Paul Miller, et al.
(2017) Environmental Research Letters, 12
Journal articleTerrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region
Jianyang Xia, A. David McGuire, David Lawrence, Eleanor Burke, Guangsheng Chen, et al.
(2017) Journal of Geophysical Research - Biogeosciences, 122 p.430-446
Journal articleFuture vegetation-climate interactions in Eastern Siberia: an assessment of the competing effects of CO2 and Secondary Organic Aerosols
Almut Arneth, R. Makkonen, Stefan Olin, Pauli Paasonen, Thomas Holst, et al.
(2016) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 p.5243-5262
Journal articleSimulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past 4 decades
S. Peng, P. Ciais, G. Krinner, T. Wang, I. Gottevin, et al.
(2016) The Cryosphere, 10 p.179-192
Journal articleVariability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009
A. David McGuire, Charles Koven, David M. Lawrence, Joy S. Clein, Jiangyang Xia, et al.
(2016) Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30 p.1015-1037
Journal articleEvaluation of air-soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region
Wenli Wang, Annette Rinke, John C. Moore, Duoying Ji, Xuefeng Cui, et al.
(2016) Cryosphere, 10 p.1721-1737
Journal articleCarbon budget estimation of a subarctic catchment using a dynamic ecosystem model at high spatial resolution
Jing Tang, Paul Miller, Andreas Persson, David Olefeldt, Petter Pilesjö, et al.
(2015) Biogeosciences, 12 p.2791-2808
Journal articleAssessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange across Northern Eurasia
M.A. Rawlins, A.D. McGuire, J.S. Kimball, P. Dass, D. Lawrence, et al.
(2015) Biogeosciences, 12 p.4385-4405
Journal articleSite-level model intercomparison of high latitude and high altitude soil thermal dynamics in tundra and barren landscapes
A. Ekici, S. Chadburn, Nitin Chaudhary, L. H. Hajdu, A. Marmy, et al.
(2015) The Cryosphere, 9 p.1343-1361
Journal articleInvestigating the influence of two different flow routing algorithms on soil–water–vegetation interactions using the dynamic ecosystem model LPJ-GUESS
Jing Tang, Paul Miller, Patrick M. Crill, Stefan Olin, Petter Pilesjö
(2015) Ecohydrology, 8 p.570-583
Journal articleTrees tracking a warmer climate: The Holocene range shift of hazel (Corylus avellana) in northern Europe
Heikki Seppa, Guy Schurgers, Paul Miller, Anne E. Bjune, Thomas Giesecke, et al.
(2015) The Holocene, 25 p.53-63
Journal articleSeverity of climate change dictates the direction of biophysical feedbacks of vegetation change to Arctic climate - results from the coupled regional climate-vegetation model CMIP5 simulations
Wenxin Zhang, C. Jansson, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, P. Samuelsson
(2014) International Baltic Earth Secretariat Publications , p.81-81
Conference paperContribution of dynamic vegetation phenology to decadal climate predictability
M. Weiss, Paul Miller, B.J.J.M. van den Hurk, T. van Noije, S. Ştefănescu, et al.
(2014) Journal of Climate, 27 p.8563-8577
Journal articleBiogeophysical feedbacks enhance the Arctic terrestrial carbon sink in regional Earth system dynamics
Wenxin Zhang, Christer Jansson, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, P. Samuelsson
(2014) Biogeosciences, 11 p.5503-5519
Journal articleIncorporating topographic indices into dynamic ecosystem modeling using LPJ-GUESS
Jing Tang, Petter Pilesjö, Paul Miller, Andreas Persson, Zhenlin Yang, et al.
(2014) Ecohydrology, 7 p.1147-1162
Journal articleHow robust are Holocene treeline simulations? A model-data comparison in the European Arctic treeline region
Keyan Fang, Jesse L. Morris, J. Sakari Salonen, Paul Miller, Hans Renssen, et al.
(2013) Journal of Quaternary Science, 28 p.595-604
Journal articleTundra shrubification and tree-line advance amplify arctic climate warming : results from an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
Wenxin Zhang, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, Rita Wania, Torben Koenigk, et al.
(2013) Environmental Research Letters, 8
Journal articleThe impact of lower sea-ice extent on Arctic greenhouse-gas exchange
Frans-Jan Parmentier, Torben Christensen, Lise Lotte Sorensen, Soren Rysgaard, A. David McGuire, et al.
(2013) Nature Climate Change, 3 p.195-202
Journal articleModelling Tundra Vegetation Response to Recent Arctic Warming
Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2012) Ambio: a Journal of Human Environment, 41 p.281-291
Journal articleSensitivity of high-resolution Arctic regional climate model projections to different implementations of land surface processes
Heidrun Matthes, Annette Rinke, Paul Miller, Peter Kuhry, Klaus Dethloff, et al.
(2012) Climatic Change, 111 p.197-214
Journal articleProjecting the future distribution of European potential natural vegetation zones with a generalized, tree species-based dynamic vegetation model
Thomas Hickler, Katrin Vohland, Jane Feehan, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, et al.
(2012) Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21 p.50-63
Journal articleAn assessment of the carbon balance of Arctic tundra: comparisons among observations, process models, and atmospheric inversions
A. D. McGuire, Torben Christensen, D. Hayes, Arnaud Heroult, E. Euskirchen, et al.
(2012) Biogeosciences, 9 p.3185-3204
Journal articleToo early to infer a global NPP decline since 2000
Anders Ahlström, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith
(2012) Geophysical Research Letters, 39
Journal articleSimulating dissolved organic carbon in the Baltic Sea catchment area
Guy Schurgers, Paul Miller, Carl-Magnus Mörth, Teresia Wällstedt, Alla Yurova, et al.
(2010) International BALTEX secretariat publication series , p.123-123
Conference paper: abstractEstimating potential forest NPP, biomass and their climatic sensitivity in New England using a dynamic ecosystem model
Guoping Tang, Brian Beckage, Benjamin Smith, Paul Miller
(2010) Ecosphere, 1 p.1-20
Journal articleA method for climate and vegetation reconstruction through the inversion of a dynamic vegetation model
Vincent Garreta, Paul Miller, Joel Guiot, Christelle Hely, Simon Brewer, et al.
(2010) Climate Dynamics, 35 p.371-389
Journal articleThe effect of past changes in inter-annual temperature variability on tree distribution limits
Thomas Giesecke, Paul Miller, Martin Sykes, Antti E. K. Ojala, Heikki Seppa, et al.
(2010) Journal of Biogeography, 37 p.1394-1405
Journal articleHolocene land-cover reconstructions for studies on land cover-climate feedbacks
M.-J. Gaillard, S. Sugita, Florence Mazier, J.O. Kaplan, A.-K. Trondman, et al.
(2010) Climate of the Past, 6 p.483-499
Journal articleVegetation on the move: where do conservation strategies have to be redefined?
Thomas Hickler, K. Vohland, L. Costa, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, et al.
(2010) Atlas of Biodiversity Risk , p.238-239
Book chapterEuropean emissions of isoprene and monoterpenes from the Last Glacial Maximum to present
Guy Schurgers, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, A. Arneth
(2009) Biogeosciences, 6 p.2779-2797
Journal articleCalibrated pollen accumulation rates as a basis for quantitative tree biomass reconstructions
Heikki Seppa, Teija Alenius, Petteri Muukkonen, Thomas Giesecke, Paul Miller, et al.
(2009) The Holocene, 19 p.209-220
Journal articleThe European budget of isoprene and monoterpene emissions and its change since the Last Glacial Maximum
Guy Schurgers, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, Almut Arneth
(2009) Geophysical Research Abstracts, 11
Conference paper: abstractTree species composition and emissions of volatile organic compounds in Europe during the Holocene
Guy Schurgers, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, Almut Arneth
(2009) ILEAPS newsletter , p.43-43
Conference paperExploring climatic and biotic controls on Holocene vegetation change in Fennoscandia
Paul Miller, Thomas Giesecke, Thomas Hickler, Richard H.W. Bradshaw, Benjamin Smith, et al.
(2008) Journal of Ecology, 96 p.247-259
Journal articleExporting the ecological effects of climate change - Developed and developing countries will suffer the consequences of climate change, but differ in both their responsibility and how badly it will affect their ecosystems
Chris D Thomas, Ralf Ohlemueller, Barbara Anderson, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, et al.
(2008) EMBO Reports, 9 p.28-33
Journal article (comment)Effects of species composition, land surface cover, CO2 concentration and climate on isoprene emissions from European forests
Almut Arneth, Guy Schurgers, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller
(2008) Plant Biology, 10 p.150-162
Journal articleThe effect of changes in species composition on European emissions of volatile organic compounds during the Holocene
Guy Schurgers, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, Almut Arneth
(2008) [Online abstracts]
Conference paper: abstractCO2 fertilisation in temperate forest FACE results not representative for global forests.
Thomas Hickler, Benjamin Smith, IC Prentice, K Mjöfors, Paul Miller, et al.
(2008) Global Change Biology, 14 p.1531-1542
Journal articleConsistent and contrasting decadal Arctic sea ice thickness predictions from a highly optimized sea ice model
Paul Miller, Seymour W. Laxon, Daniel L. Feltham
(2007) Journal of Geophysical Research, 112
Journal articleHolocene Vegetation Dynamics in Sweden and Finland as Simulated by the Generalised Vegetation Model LPJ-GUESS
Paul Miller, Thomas Giesecke, Thomas Hickler, Richard Bradshaw, Benjamin Smith, et al.
(2007) Geophysical Research Abstracts, 9
Conference paper: abstractModellering av vegetationsförskjutningar i Sverige under framtida klimatscenarier
Benjamin Smith, Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller
(2007) Sverige Inför Klimatförändringarna - Hot och Åtgärder. Slutbetänkande av Klimat- och sårbarhetsutredningen (Statens Offentliga Utredningar), SOU 2007:60
Book chapterExploring Holocene European vegetation history with the vegetation model LPJ-GUESS forced with GCM climate scenarios
Thomas Giesecke, Paul Miller, Thomas Hickler, Martin Sykes, Richard Bradshaw
(2007) Quaternary International, 167-168 p.140-140
Conference paper: abstractCO2 inhibition of terrestrial isoprene production stabilises tropospheric oxidation capacity
Almut Arneth, Paul Miller, Marko Scholze, Thomas Hickler, Guy Schurgers, et al.
(2007) Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L18813
Journal articleInterannual to millennial variation of biogenic ozone and aerosol precursor emissions
Almut Arneth, Jörgen Olofsson, Thomas Hickler, Guy Schurgers, Paul Miller, et al.
(2007)
Conference paper: abstractDirect CO2 inhibition offsets temperature effects on future isoprene emissions
Almut Arneth, Guy Schurgers, Paul Miller, Thomas Hickler, Benjamin Smith
(2007)
Conference paper: abstractFuture changes in European vegetation and implications for biodiversity
Thomas Hickler, Paul Miller, Benjamin Smith, Martin Sykes
(2007)
Conference paper: abstractOptimization of a sea ice model using basin-wide observations of Arctic sea ice thickness, extent and velocity
Paul Miller, Seymour Laxon, Daniel Feltham, Douglas Cresswell
(2006) Journal of Climate, 19 p.1089-1108
Journal articleA Multithickness Sea Ice Model Accounting for Sliding Friction
Alexander Wilchinsky, Daniel Feltham, Paul Miller
(2006) Journal of Physical Oceanography, 36 p.1719-1738
Journal articleCO2 and temperature effects on global isoprene emissions from terrestrial vegetation
Almut Arneth, Guy Schurgers, Paul Miller, Thomas Hickler, Benjamin Smith
(2006)
Conference paper: abstractImproving the spatial distribution of modeled Arctic sea ice thickness
Paul Miller, Seymour Laxon, Daniel Feltham
(2005) Geophysical Research Letters, 32 p.18503-18503
Journal articleSignatures of chaos in the entanglement of two coupled quantum kicked tops
Paul Miller, Sarben Sarkar
(1999) Physical Review E, 60 p.1542-1542
Journal articleEntropy production, dynamical localization and criteria for quantum chaos in the open quantum kicked rotor
Paul Miller, Sarben Sarkar
(1999) Nonlinearity, 12
Journal articleFingerprints of classical instability in open quantum dynamics
Paul Miller, Sarben Sarkar
(1998) Physical Review E, 58
Journal articleQuantum chaos: entropy signatures
Paul Miller, Sarben Sarkar, Raphael Zarum
(1998) Acta Physica Polonica B, 29 p.3643-3688
Journal article