

I am a climate researcher with long experience in both atmospheric measurements and development and evaluation of advanced climate models, as well as their use for climate projections and scenarios and subsequent climate impact studies.
Over the years, I have developed my advisory and expert capacity, for example in UN climate negotiations, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and today also in the Swedish Climate Policy Council.
I also do outreach and some of my later research is inspired by these contexts, and touches upon how scientific knowledge develops in response to and in support of societal action on climate.
Publications
Displaying of publications. Sorted by year, then title.
Global governance of coastal ecosystems, the making of blue carbon : Co-production, abstraction and enactment
Terese Thoni, Markku Rummukainen
(2025) Sustainable Environment, 11
Journal articleMaking policy-relevant knowledge in the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 degrees : An analysis of reviewer comments
Jasmine E. Livingston, Markku Rummukainen
(2023) Environmental Science and Policy, 147 p.305-314
Journal articleTvärbromsa nu – för att rädda mångfalden : Forskare: Åtgärderna måste lösa två kriser samtidigt
Henrik G. Smith, Markku Rummukainen
(2022) Aftonbladet Debatt
Newspaper articleSurvey of gender bias in the IPCC
Diana Liverman, Nicolena VonHedemann, Patricia Nying’uro, Markku Rummukainen, Kerstin Stendahl, et al.
(2022) Nature, 602 p.30-32
Journal articleThe evolution of extreme high and low temperatures in Sweden during 1882-2020
Behnaz Pirzamanbein, Markku Rummukainen
(2022)
Conference paper: abstractPåståendet om äldre skogar baseras på en föråldrad hypotes
Marie Appelstrand, Anders Lindroth, Ola Olsson, Markku Rummukainen, Henrik G. Smith
(2021) Dagens nyheter (DN debatt)
Newspaper articleSkogens klimatnyttor – en balansakt i prioritering (utökad utgåva)
Markku Rummukainen
(2021) CEC Syntes
ReportVegetation-Climate Feedbacks Enhance Spatial Heterogeneity of Pan-Amazonian Ecosystem States Under Climate Change
Minchao Wu, Benjamin Smith, Guy Schurgers, Anders Ahlström, Markku Rummukainen
(2021) Geophysical Research Letters, 48
Journal articleLunds kommuns klimatpolitiska råd : Rapport 2020
Lena Neij, Roger Hildingsson, Johanna Alkan Olsson, Lena Winslott Hiselius, Markku Rummukainen, et al.
(2020)
ReportTaking science by surprise : The knowledge politics of the IPCC Special Report on 1.5 degrees
Jasmine E. Livingston, Markku Rummukainen
(2020) Environmental Science and Policy, 112 p.10-16
Journal articleHur du röstar i EU-valet spelar roll för klimatet
Markku Rummukainen, Roger Hildingsson
(2019) Sydsvenska Dagbladet, Debatt
Newspaper articleLunds kommuns klimatpolitiska råd: Rapport 2019
Lena Neij, Johanna Alkan Olsson, Lena Winslott Hiselius, Catharina Sternudd, Roger Hildingsson, et al.
(2019)
ReportKlimatomställning krävs – men vi klarar utmaningen
Markku Rummukainen, Lars J Nilsson, Henrik G. Smith, Fredrik N G Andersson
(2019) SVT Nyheter. Opinion
Newspaper articleContributions of soil moisture interactions to future precipitation changes in the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment
Wilhelm May, Markku Rummukainen, Frederique Chéruy, Stefan Hagemann, Arndt Meier
(2017) Climate Dynamics, 49 p.1681-1704
Journal articleImpacts of land use on climate and ecosystem productivity over the Amazon and the South American continent
Minchao Wu, Guy Schurgers, Anders Ahlström, Markku Rummukainen, Paul Miller, et al.
(2017) Environmental Research Letters, 12
Journal articleEkosystembaserad klimatanpassning : Konceptualisering och kunskapsöversyn
Johanna Alkan Olsson, Ebba Brink, Johan Ekroos, Helena Hanson, Johan Hollander, et al.
(2017)
ReportKlimatanpassning av bostäder och bostadsområden : resultat från ett samarbetsprojekt mellan CEC och Riksbyggen
Victoria Sjöstedt, Johanna Alkan Olsson, Markku Rummukainen, Karolina Brick, Charlotta Szczepanowski, et al.
(2016) CEC Syntes
ReportAdded value in regional climate modeling
Markku Rummukainen
(2016) Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 7 p.145-159
Journal articleVegetation-climate feedbacks modulate rainfall patterns in Africa under future climate change
Minchao Wu, Guy Schurgers, Markku Rummukainen, Benjamin Smith, Patrick Samuelsson, et al.
(2016) Earth System Dynamics, 7 p.627-647
Journal articleCommunication and use of climate scenarios for climate change adaptation in Finland, Sweden and Norway
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola, Bob van Oort, Inger Hanssen-Bauer, Markku Ollikainen, Markku Rummukainen, et al.
(2015) Local Environment, 20 p.510-524
Journal articlePå jakt efter en hållbar jord
Markku Rummukainen, Henrik G. Smith
(2015) 15 hållbara lösningar för framtiden , p.11-21
Book chapterContributions of soil moisture interactions to climate change in the tropics in the GLACE–CMIP5 experiment
Wilhelm May, Arndt Meier, Markku Rummukainen, Alexis Berg, Frederique Chéruy, et al.
(2015) Climate Dynamics, 45 p.3275-3297
Journal articleKlimatsäkrat Skåne
(2015) CEC Rapport
ReportOur commitment to climate change is dependent on past, present and future emissions and decisions
Markku Rummukainen
(2015) Climate Research, 64 p.7-14
Journal articleVärlden förändras
Marianne Hall, Markku Rummukainen
(2015) Klimatsäkrat Skåne , p.13-20
Report chapterTwenty-First-Century Challenges in Regional Climate Modeling
Markku Rummukainen, Burkhardt Rockel, Lars Bärring, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Marcus Reckermann
(2015) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 p.135-138
Journal articleSkåne idag och i framtiden
Åsa Knaggård, Karin Ericsson, Marianne Hall, Emma Lund, Markku Rummukainen, et al.
(2015) Klimatsäkrat Skåne , p.229-240
Report chapterFramtidsscenarier
Marianne Hall, Åsa Knaggård, Markku Rummukainen, Håkan Pihl, Jessica Wadin
(2015) Klimatsäkrat Skåne , p.221-228
Report chapterClimate projections for 2050
Markku Rummukainen
(2014) Climate change impact and adaptation in agricultural systems, 5 p.7-16
Book chapterClimate models go green
Markku Rummukainen, Erik Swietlicki
(2014) Today’s Great Explorers : New frontiers in Strategy Research at Lund University , p.31-46
Book chapterClimate Services - Mapping of Providers and Purveyors in the Netherlands and Sweden
Terese Göransson, Markku Rummukainen
(2014) CEC Report
ReportPotential mechanism of vegetation-induced reduction in tropical rainfall in Africa: Analysis based on regional Earth system model simulations
Minchao Wu, Benjamin Smith, Guy Schurgers, Joe Siltberg, Markku Rummukainen, et al.
(2014) International Baltic Earth Secretariat Publications , p.78-78
Conference paperVegetation changes in sub-tropics cause reduced precipitation in tropics for Africa
Minchao Wu, Benjamin Smith, G. Schurgers, J. Siltberg, Markku Rummukainen, et al.
(2014)
Conference paper: abstractLand-atmosphere interactions in a changing climate: An overview of the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment
S.I. Seneviratne, M. Wilhelm, T. Stanelle, B.V.D. Hurk, S. Hagemann, et al.
(2014) AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, 1
Conference paper: abstractEvaluation of climate models
Gregory Flato, Jochem Marotzke, Babatunde Abiodun, Pascale Braconnot, Sin Chan Chou, et al.
(2013) Climate Change 2013 : The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change , p.741-866
Book chapterEmerging regional climate change signals for Europe under varying large-scale circulation conditions
Erik Kjellstrom, Peter Thejll, Markku Rummukainen, Jens H. Christensen, Fredrik Boberg, et al.
(2013) Climate Research, 56 p.103-119
Journal articleClimate change and storm damage risk in European forests
Marcus Lindner, Markku Rummukainen
(2013) What Science Can Tell Us
ReportMetanbomb i Arktis?
Markku Rummukainen
(2013) 15 nedslag i klimatforskningen , p.117-126
Book chapterGCM characteristics explain the majority of uncertainty in projected 21st century terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance
Anders Ahlström, Benjamin Smith, Johan Lindström, Markku Rummukainen, Cintia Bertacchi Uvo
(2013) Biogeosciences, 10 p.1517-1528
Journal articleImpact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment
Sonia I. Seneviratne, Micah Wilhelm, Tanja Stanelle, Bart van den Hurk, Stefan Hagemann, et al.
(2013) Geophysical Research Letters, 40 p.5212-5217
Journal articleClimate change: changing means and changing extremes
Markku Rummukainen
(2013) Climatic Change, 121 p.3-13
Journal articleFönstret för tvågradersmålet på glänt, på väg att stängas
Markku Rummukainen
(2013) Klimat i fokus
OtherGCM characteristics explain the majority of uncertainty in projected 21st century terrestrial ecosystem carbon balance
Anders Ahlström, Johan Lindström, Markku Rummukainen, Benjamin Smith, Cintia Bertacchi Uvo
(2012) Biogeosciences Discussions, 9 p.13685-13712
Journal articleChanges in climate and weather extremes in the 21st century
Markku Rummukainen
(2012) Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3 p.115-129
Journal article reviewSustainable agriculture : an issue for society and business
Marianne Hall, Georg Andersson, Henrik Smith, Markku Rummukainen
(2012) RioPlus Business Magazine , p.142-143
Conference paperThe West African climate system: a review of the AMMA model inter-comparison initiatives
P. M. Ruti, J. E. Williams, F. Hourdin, F. Guichard, A. Boone, et al.
(2011) Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 p.116-122
Journal articleA model of the coupled dynamics of climate, vegetation and terrestrial ecosystem biogeochemistry for regional applications
Benjamin Smith, Patrick Samuelsson, Anna Wramneby, Markku Rummukainen
(2011) Tellus. Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63A p.87-106
Journal articleProgress in regional downscaling of west African precipitation
Heiko Paeth, Nicholas M.J. Hall, Miguel Angel Gaertner, Marta Dominque Alonso, Sounmaila Moumouni, et al.
(2011) Atmospheric Science Letters, 12 p.75-82
Journal articleChallenges In Regional-Scale Climate Modeling
Raymond W. Arritt, Markku Rummukainen
(2011) Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92 p.365-368
Journal article (comment)Uppdatering av den vetenskapliga grunden för klimatarbetet. En översyn av naturvetenskapliga aspekter
Markku Rummukainen, Daniel J. A. Johansson, Christian Azar, Joakim Langner, Ralf Döscher, et al.
(2011) Klimatologi
ReportEtt koldioxidsnålt samhälle - a low carbon society: en kortfattad kunskapsöversikt
Lars J Nilsson, Alexandra Nikoleris, Fredrik N G Andersson, Roger Hildingsson, Astrid Kander, et al.
(2011)
ReportThe 2nd lund regional-scale climate modelling workshop : Part II
(2010) Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 19 p.323-324
Editor for a journalPhysical Climate Science since IPCC AR4: a brief update on new findings between 2007 and april 2010
Markku Rummukainen
(2010) Temanord
ReportState-of-the-art with regional climate models
Markku Rummukainen
(2010) Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 1 p.82-96
Journal article reviewWeight assignment in regional climate models
Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Erik Kjellström, Filippo Giorgi, Geert Lenderink, Markku Rummukainen
(2010) Climate Research, 44 p.179-194
Journal articleEvaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models : The PRUDENCE project
Jens H. Christensen, Timothy R. Carter, Markku Rummukainen, Georgios Amanatidis
(2007) Climatic Change, 81 p.1-6
Journal article (comment)Klimatet
Markku Rummukainen, Lars Bärring, D Chen, M Ottosson-Löfvenius, P Samuelsson, et al.
(2006) Klimatet och skogen - underlag för nationell forskning (Kungliga skogs- och lantbruksakademiens tidskrift), 9 p.35-41
Book chapterThe Swedish regional climate modelling programme, SWECLIM : A review
Markku Rummukainen, Sten Bergström, Gunn Persson, Johan Rodhe, Michael Tjernström
(2004) Ambio, 33 p.176-182
Journal article reviewA Swedish case study of contemporary and possible future consequences of climate change on lake function
Thorsten Blenckner, Anders Omstedt, Markku Rummukainen
(2002) Aquatic Sciences, 64 p.171-184
Journal articleShort communication : Environmental consequences of alternative practices for intensifying crop production
P. J. Gregory, J. S.I. Ingram, R. Andersson, R. A. Betts, V. Brovkin, et al.
(2002) Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 88 p.279-290
Journal articleA synthesis of regional climate change simulations - A Scandinavian perspective
J. H. Christensen, J. Räinsänen, T. Iversen, D. Bjørge, O. B. Christensen, et al.
(2001) Geophysical Research Letters, 28 p.1003-1006
Journal articleClimate change impacts on runoff in Sweden - Assessments by global climate models, dynamical downscalling and hydrological modelling
S. Bergström, B. Carlsson, M. Gardelin, G. Lindström, A. Petterson, et al.
(2001) Climate Research, 16 p.101-112
Journal articleDownscaling of greenhouse gas induced climate change in two GCMs with the Rossby Centre regional climate model for Northern Europe
J. Räisänen, M. Rummukainen, A. Ullerstig
(2001) Tellus, Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 53 p.168-191
Journal articleKlimatförändring och Norden : Regionala konkretiseringsexempel på 50-100 års sikt
M. Rummukainen
(2001) Terra, 113 p.153-160
Journal articleA regional climate model for northern Europe : Model description and results from the downscaling of two GCM control simulations
M. Rummukainen, J. Räisänen, B. Bringfelt, A. Ullerstig, A. Omstedt, et al.
(2001) Climate Dynamics, 17 p.339-359
Journal articleA global model tool for three-dimensional multiyear stratospheric chemistry simulations : Model description and first results
Markku Rummukainen, Ivar S.A. Isaksen, Bjørg Rognerud, Frode Stordal
(1999) Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 104 p.26437-26456
Journal articleTrajectory studies of polar stratospheric cloud lidar observations at Sodankyla (Finland) during SESAME : Comparison with box model results of particle evolution
V. Rizi, G. Redaelli, G. Visconti, F. Masci, C. Wedekind, et al.
(1999) Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry, 32 p.165-181
Journal articleDepletion of column ozone in the arctic during the winters of 1993-94 and 1994-95
F. Goutail, J. P. Pommereau, C. Phillips, C. Deniel, A. Sarkissian, et al.
(1999) Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry, 32 p.1-34
Journal articleChemical ozone loss in the Arctic winter 1994/95 as determined by the match technique
M. Rex, P. Von Der Gathen, G. O. Braathen, N. R.P. Harris, E. Reimer, et al.
(1999) Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry, 32 p.35-59
Journal articleIn situ measurements of stratospheric ozone depletion rates in the Arctic winter 1991/1992 : A Lagrangian approach
M. Rex, P. Von Der Gathen, N. R.P. Harris, D. Lucic, B. M. Knudsen, et al.
(1998) Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 103 p.5843-5853
Journal articleLidar observation of spherical particles in a -65°cold cirrus observed above Sodankyla (Finland) during S.E.S.A.M.E.
Massimo Del Guasta, Marco Morandi, Leopoldo Stefanutti, Stefano Balestri, Esko Kyro, et al.
(1998) Journal of Aerosol Science, 29 p.357-374
Journal articleDehydration and sedimentation of ice particles in the Arctic stratospheric vortex
H. Vömel, M. Rummukainen, R. Kivi, J. Karhu, T. Turunen, et al.
(1997) Geophysical Research Letters, 24 p.795-798
Journal articleProlonged stratospheric ozone loss in the 1995-96 arctic winter
Markus Rex, Neil R.P. Harris, Peter Von der Gathen, Ralph Lehmann, Geir O. Braathen, et al.
(1997) Nature, 389 p.835-838
Journal articleYearly cycle of lower tropospheric ozone at the Arctic Circle
Markku Rummukainen, Tuomas Laurila, Rigel Kivi
(1996) Atmospheric Environment, 30 p.1875-1885
Journal articleStratospheric ozone depletion and solar UV radiation in the arctic and its potential impact on human health in Finland
P. Taalas, E. Kyro, K. Jokela, T. Koskela, K. Lesiczynski, et al.
(1996) Geophysica, 32 p.127-165
Journal articleObservational evidence for chemical ozone depletion over the Arctic in winter 1991-92
Peter Von der Gathen, Markus Rex, Neil R.P. Harris, Diana Lucic, Bjørn M. Knudsen, et al.
(1995) Nature, 375 p.131-134
Journal articleTemporal development of ozone within the Arctic Vortex during the winter of 1991/92
Geir O. Braathen, Markku Rummukainen, Esko Kyrö, Ulrich Schmidt, Arne Dahlback, et al.
(1994) Geophysical Research Letters, 21 p.1407-1410
Journal article