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Uncertainty and evidence

Our research group studies the management of uncertainty about knowledge in scientific assessments. This involves discussing and applying principles and methods for learning, prediction and decision analyses at different levels of knowledge.

We aim to apply principles and methods to conceptual as well as real-world problems in risk assessment, evidence synthesis and decision analysis.

The group is part of COSHE, the Computational Science for Health and Environment theme at CEC.

Current research and teaching

Research projects

  • RISK-HUNT3R (risk-hunt3r.eu)
  • Robust climate adaptation Gävleborg
  • PARC: Partnership for the Assessment of Risks for Chemicals
  • SkandicBuzz: Do imported commercial bumblebees affect the disease profile of wild Swedish bumblebees?
  • BIOPATH MISTRA

Undergraduate teaching

  • Introduction to Biostatistics MASB11
  • Risk assessment for Environment and Public Health MVEN10
  • Reproducible workflows and Statistical Learning BERN02
  • Statistical and Mathematical Uncertainty Analysis VRSF20

Graduate teaching (PhD courses)

  • Bayesian Analysis and Decision Theory NAVM001
  • Risk, Uncertainty and Decision Making NAVM002)

Commissions

  • EFSA Tender OC/EFSA/MESE/2022/05: Support services for Expert Knowledge Elicitation
  • EFSA Tender OC/EFSA/AMU/2021/02 EKE; Develop and deliver online courses in Expert Knowledge Elicitation for EFSA

Group leader

Ullrika Sahlin
E-mail: ullrika [dot] sahlin [at] cec [dot] lu [dot] se (ullrika[dot]sahlin[at]cec[dot]lu[dot]se)
Mobile: +46 73 827 44 32

Involved researchers

All links go to the Lund University Research Portal.