Environmental models in waterfowl management under uncertainty
Introductory seminar with PhD student Dmytro Perepolkin.
Environmental problems are characterized by high complexity, dynamism, stochasticity and interconnectedness of various ecological systems. This necessitates a holistic and systematic approach to environmental decision making, which addresses both stakeholder alignment (clarity of objectives), uncertainty related to management actions (what can and should be done) and lack-of-knowledge related to how systems will change and respond to these interventions (epistemic and aleatory uncertainty). We will provide a brief introduction into the subjects of Decision Analysis and Uncertainty Analysis and their applications in the environmental management. Then we introduce Adaptive Management as a framework for making recurring decisions in environmental domain and discuss the role of learning in resource management.
Waterfowl management problems require modeling of social, environmental and biological systems including animal populations, their interaction with natural landscapes and people. We will review statistical models commonly used in the three areas of waterfowl management: harvest, habitat, and human dimension, focusing on the explicit acknowledgement and treatment of uncertainty in these models.
About the event
22 October 2020 10:15 to 12:00
Röda Rummet and on zoom (send a mail to Ullrika Sahlin to get a link).
Reserachers and PhD:s
ullrika [dot] sahlin [at] cec [dot] lu [dot] se