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Robust analysis of uncertainty in scientific assessments

How to make uncertainty scientific
Seminar
Mid-term seminar for PhD student Ivette Raices Cruz

Date: May 26th

Time: 10:00 – 12:00

Open seminar on zoom (link to Zoom will be provided to registered participants short before the seminar)

Link to registration form

 

Midterm opponent is Jukka Ranta University of Helsinki and Finnish Food Authority

CEC representative is Pål Axel Ohlsson, Department of Biology

Main supervisor is Ullrika Sahlin, Centre of Environmental and Climate Research

 

Abstract

Knowledge is always limited, and therefore is honest to communicate uncertainty when presenting scientific conclusions in scientific assessments. In her PhD project, Ivette Raices Cruz is studying the possibility to use robust Bayesian analysis to treat uncertainty in scientific assessments. Both Bayesian and Robust Bayesian analysis are useful to quantity uncertainty when making inference from data and experts. Ivette work is a contribution to evidence synthesis and quantitative risk assessment, by developing the methodology for Robust Bayesian analysis, and applying and comparing different ways to quantify uncertainty on existing assessment.

 

The seminar is structured as follows:

  • A 20 minute presentation by the PhD student
  • Discussion between the mid-term opponent and the PhD student (led by the opponent) for 20-40 minutes.
  • Questions from the audience

 

 

Time: 
26 May 2020 10:00 to 12:00
Location: 
Online meeting in Zoom
Contact: 
ullrika.sahlin [at] cec.lu.se

About the event

Time: 
26 May 2020 10:00 to 12:00
Location: 
Online meeting in Zoom
Contact: 
ullrika.sahlin [at] cec.lu.se

Centre for Environmental and Climate Research, CEC

Sölvegatan 37
223 62 Lund, Sweden

Visiting address
The Ecology Building, Sölvegatan 37, Lund

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